Here’s an analysis of the 2024 season receiving yard projections for each player and their outlook: All projections available on the iBET Networks site, in a pick format More/Less.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (DET) – 1250.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: St. Brown has emerged as the go-to receiver in Detroit and is expected to continue his upward trajectory. This projection is within reach, given his role in the offense and his ability to generate yards after the catch.
Xavier Worthy (KC) – 750.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Worthy is a new addition to the Chiefs and could see a significant role given Kansas City’s need for consistent wide receiver production outside of Travis Kelce. His speed and ability to stretch the field should allow him to approach or exceed this projection, especially in an offense led by Patrick Mahomes.
Travis Kelce (KC) – 900.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Kelce remains the focal point of the Chiefs’ passing attack, and with his track record of consistency, this projection feels conservative. Kelce should comfortably exceed 900 yards as Mahomes’ top target, barring any injuries.
Dallas Goedert (PHI) – 625.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Goedert is a reliable target in Philadelphia’s offense, and with Jalen Hurts improving as a passer, he should surpass this projection. Goedert’s ability to exploit mismatches in the middle of the field makes him a key component of the Eagles’ passing game.
DeVonta Smith (PHI) – 1050.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Smith has developed into a top-tier receiver for the Eagles, and with the attention A.J. Brown draws, Smith should have plenty of opportunities to hit this yardage. His route-running and chemistry with Hurts make him a strong candidate to exceed 1,000 yards again.
A.J. Brown (PHI) – 1250.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Brown is the clear WR1 in Philadelphia, and after a stellar 2023 season, this projection is well within reach. Brown’s physicality and ability to win contested catches make him a top fantasy receiver with a high yardage ceiling.
Adonai Mitchell (IND) – 550.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Mitchell is a rookie with potential, but playing in a Colts offense led by a rookie quarterback might limit his upside. While this projection is achievable, much will depend on his ability to quickly establish rapport with Anthony Richardson.
Rashid Shaheed (NO) – 675.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Shaheed is a big-play threat for the Saints, and with Derek Carr at quarterback, he could see more opportunities. This projection is within reach if he can carve out a consistent role as a deep threat and secondary option to Chris Olave.
Juwan Johnson (NO) – 425.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Johnson emerged as a red-zone threat for the Saints last season, and while his role could grow, the yardage projection is modest. He’s more likely to be used in short-yardage and scoring situations, making this projection realistic.
Kyle Pitts (ATL) – 750.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Pitts has the talent to exceed this projection, but his production has been inconsistent due to quarterback play and usage. If Atlanta’s passing game improves, Pitts could easily surpass 750 yards, but it’s no guaranteed.
Keon Coleman (BUF) – 725.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Coleman is a promising rookie for the Bills, but with Khalil Shakir and Gabe Davis ahead of him, his opportunities might be limited. This projection is reasonable if he becomes a reliable third option in Buffalo’s high-powered offense.
Keenan Allen (CHI) – 825.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Allen is known for his route-running and consistency, but at this stage of his career, injuries are a concern. If he stays healthy, this projection is attainable, especially as a primary target in Chicago’s offense.
Jaylen Waddle (MIA) – 1000.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Waddle’s speed and big-play ability make him a strong candidate to exceed this projection, especially if he remains a focal point in Miami’s offense alongside Tyreek Hill. His chemistry with Tua Tagovailoa should continue to grow.
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) – 1250.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Chase is one of the elite receivers in the league, and as Joe Burrow’s top target, he should have no trouble surpassing this projection. His ability to produce big plays consistently makes him a candidate for even higher yardage.
Tyreek Hill (MIA) – 1375.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Hill remains one of the most explosive receivers in the NFL, and if he stays healthy, this projection is achievable. His role in Miami’s offense ensures he’ll have plenty of opportunities to rack up yards, both deep and after the catch.
Tee Higgins (CIN) – 875.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Higgins is a strong WR2 in Cincinnati’s offense, and he should be able to surpass this yardage if he stays healthy. His size and ability to win contested catches give him a high ceiling, even with Chase commanding targets.
Chris Olave (NO) – 1025.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Olave is the top receiver for the Saints and has shown the ability to produce big numbers. With Derek Carr under center, Olave should have no problem hitting this projection, especially as he continues to develop in his second season.
Odell Beckham Jr. (MIA) – 400.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Beckham’s role in Miami might be limited, especially given the presence of Hill and Waddle. This projection is low, reflecting his likely usage as a situational deep threat or rotational player, making it achievable if he can stay healthy.
Dalton Kincaid (BUF) – 750.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Kincaid is expected to be a significant part of Buffalo’s offense, particularly in the passing game. Given the Bills’ pass-heavy scheme, he has a strong chance to surpass this projection.
Michael Pittman Jr. (IND) – 950.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Pittman is the clear WR1 in Indianapolis, and even with a rookie quarterback, he should see enough volume to reach this yardage. His size and ability to win in contested situations make him a reliable target, boosting his chances of hitting this projection.
DJ Moore (CHI) – 950.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Moore is expected to be the top target for the Bears, and with Caleb Williams, Moore should easily exceed this projection. His ability to create yards after the catch will be key to his success in Chicago.
Rome Odunze (CHI) – 675.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Odunze is a promising rookie for the Bears, and while he might start the season as a third option, his talent gives him the potential to surpass this projection if he can carve out a significant role.
Malik Nabers (NYG) – 875.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Nabers is a talented rookie, and with the Giants need for playmakers, he could quickly become a key part of their offense. This projection is achievable if he can develop chemistry with Daniel Jones and become a reliable target.
Drake London (ATL) – 975.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: London is expected to be the top receiver for the Falcons, and with his size and catch radius, he should be able to surpass this projection. However, the effectiveness of Atlanta’s passing game will be crucial to his success.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) – 775.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Smith-Njigba is a highly-touted rookie who could quickly become a key part of Seattle’s passing game. This projection is realistic, especially if he can find a role alongside DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett.
Quentin Johnston (LAC) – 600.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Johnston has the potential to become a deep threat in the Chargers’ offense, but as a rookie, he might face some growing pains. This projection is achievable if he can establish his role in the offense.
Joshua Palmer (LAC) – 700.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Palmer has shown flashes of potential, and with the Chargers’ pass-heavy offense, he has a good chance of hitting this projection.
Ladd McConkey (LAC) – 725.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: McConkey is another rookie with potential, and in the Chargers’ system, he could see plenty of targets. This projection is realistic if he can find a consistent role in the offense.
DK Metcalf (SEA) – 1000.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Metcalf is a physical specimen and a key part of Seattle’s offense. Given his ability to dominate in contested catch situations and stretch the field, this projection is well within reach if he stays healthy.
Tyler Lockett (SEA) – 775.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Lockett has been a model of consistency for the Seahawks, consistently putting up strong numbers. This projection feels low given his chemistry with Geno Smith and his ability to get open. Even with the emergence of younger receivers, Lockett should comfortably exceed this yardage if he stays healthy.
Jerry Jeudy (CLE) – 725.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Jeudy is a talented route runner who has struggled with injuries and inconsistent quarterback play in the past. If Deshaun Watson returns to form, Jeudy could easily surpass this projection, but it will largely depend on his ability to stay healthy and the effectiveness of the Browns’ passing attack.
David Njoku (CLE) – 725.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Njoku has the physical tools to be a top-tier tight end, and with a potentially improved offense in Cleveland, this projection is within reach. He’s been a reliable red-zone target, and if he sees more targets.
Amari Cooper (CLE) – 950.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Cooper is the primary receiver in Cleveland and has shown he can produce consistently when healthy. This projection is reasonable, especially if Watson improves his play. Cooper should see plenty of targets and has the ability to exceed 1,000 yards.
Chris Godwin (TB) – 850.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Godwin is a talented receiver, but Tampa Bay’s offense may see a decline with Baker Mayfield at quarterback. This projection is realistic, though he may struggle to return to his peak production without more consistent quarterback play.
Mike Evans (TB) – 1050.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Evans has been a model of consistency, posting over 1,000 yards in every season of his career. Even with a downgrade at quarterback, Evans should be able to hit this projection if he maintains his role as the top target in Tampa’s offense.
Jameson Williams (DET) – 700.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Williams is a big-play threat with the ability to stretch the field, but his role and consistency are still developing. This projection is achievable, but it will depend on how quickly he can integrate into the offense and stay on the field.
Sam LaPorta (DET) – 850.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: LaPorta is a talented tight end who could be a significant part of Detroit’s passing attack. While this projection is high for a tight end, his talent and the Lions’ offensive scheme give him a chance to reach it.
Brandon Aiyuk (SF) – 950.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Aiyuk had a breakout season in 2023 and should continue to be a key part of the 49ers’ offense. With his ability to create separation and make big plays, this projection is within reach, especially if San Francisco continues to open up the passing game.
Deebo Samuel Sr. (SF) – 725.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Samuel’s versatility as a runner and receiver can sometimes limit his receiving yardage totals. While this projection is low for a player of his caliber, his usage in the offense will dictate whether he surpasses it. If he’s used more as a traditional receiver, he could easily exceed 725 yards.
George Kittle (SF) – 750.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: Kittle remains one of the best tight ends in the league, particularly in terms of yards after the catch. This projection is achievable, though his yardage could fluctuate depending on the game script and the health of other key 49ers’ offensive players.
Christian McCaffrey (SF) – 500.5 SZN Receiving Yards
Outlook: McCaffrey is a dual-threat back and one of the best receiving backs in the league. Given his role in the 49ers’ offense, this projection is well within reach, as he will be heavily involved in both the run and pass game.
These projections provide a mix of expected outcomes, with certain players being safer bets to exceed their yardage due to their roles and consistency, while others may face challenges depending on team dynamics and health.